ANIDIS - L'ingegneria Sismica in Italia, ANIDIS XX - 2025

Dimensione del carattere:  Piccola  Media  Grande

Fast-Track Code-Based Seismic Vulnerability Screening with Machine Learning: Evidence from 300 Italian Buildings

Angelo Aloisio, Marco Martino Rosso, Giuseppe Quaranta, Massimo Fragiacomo

Ultima modifica: 2025-08-29

Sommario


The study introduces a data-driven method for estimating a code based seismic vulnerability index for roughly 300 Italian buildings. Detailed surveys, experimental tests, and numerical analyses produced about 15 mixed-type predictors. These inputs fed several predictive algorithms, in particular logistic regression and an artificial neural network (ANN). After rebalancing the classes by adjusting the vulnerability cut-off, the ANN classifies buildings into two risk groups with better than 85% accuracy. SHAP analysis reveals how much each feature influences the prediction, providing a transparent tool to help authorities prioritise seismic-risk mitigation.

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